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Processing the impact on human capital

While the Corona Virus is front and center, ADP still has great long term earnings potential with a growth rate estimated at 13% and a strong business model with high recurring revenue despite the immediate impact. By positioning itself around cloud-based solutions, they should be able to weather the storm in an environment where remote trends continue to be strong around all aspects of human resources.

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Successful Plan

The plan exited at one of the 3 reward stages. Note returns and percentages are calculated based on the levels executed only.



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  Price Shares Cost Returns R/R
Blue Channel
Buy $121.08
$3,632.40  
Reward $164.45 $4,933.50 $1,301.10
Risk $104.47 $3,134.10 ($498.30)
Cancel $160.00    
 
Green Channel
Buy $104.47
$3,656.45  
Reward $152.35 $5,332.25 $1,675.80
Risk $83.51 $2,922.85 ($733.60)
Even $112.14      
 
1st Trade exit @ reward target $938.10  
Total Reward from all applicable channels $2,613.90  
Total Risk from all applicable channels ($1,860.70)  
 
Red Channel
Buy $83.51
$2,421.79  
Reward $134.13 $3,889.77 $1,467.98
Risk $56.40 $1,635.60 ($786.19)
Even $103.30      
 
1st Trade exit @ reward target $391.50  
2nd Trade exit @ reward target $1,038.10  
Total Reward from all applicable channels $2,897.58  
Total Risk from all applicable channels ($4,409.04)  
Blue Channel

2.61:1
reward : risk
level reached 60.42%
Green Channel

2.28:1
reward : risk
level reached 38.16%
Red Channel

1.87:1
reward : risk
level reached 20.14%
3/15/2020 by Dave H Friedel Jr in Industrials Type: Equities

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