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Trump's Timeout

Whether to support or oppose Trump, there is no doubt his actions at least in the short term are inflationary but as Health Care, Tax Reform, and Trade face increased scrutiny in the political sphere the risk associated to these events may not be fully priced into the markets putting the President in a time out as far as markets are concerned.

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Canceled Plan

The cancel price was reached before the first buy could be triggered.

Be it the recent actions of the Fed’s monetary policy or this administration’s lack of political unity impacting fiscal policy, the markets have perhaps gotten ahead of themselves as we reach the top of the channel providing traders an opportunity to take profits while preparing for the Christmas rally.


  Price Shares Cost Returns R/R
Green Channel
Buy $234.39
$3,281.46  
Reward $250.78 $3,510.92 $229.46
Risk $223.43 $3,128.02 ($153.44)
Cancel $245.44    
 
Blue Channel
Buy $223.43
$3,128.02  
Reward $240.35 $3,364.90 $236.88
Risk $205.25 $2,873.50 ($254.52)
Even $228.91      
 
1st Trade exit @ reward target $83.44  
Total Reward from all applicable channels $320.32  
Total Risk from all applicable channels ($662.48)  
 
Red Channel
Buy $205.25
$3,284.00  
Reward $233.43 $3,734.88 $450.88
Risk $188.28 $3,012.48 ($271.52)
Even $220.31      
 
1st Trade exit @ reward target ($13.44)  
2nd Trade exit @ reward target $140.00  
Total Reward from all applicable channels $577.44  
Total Risk from all applicable channels ($1,409.16)  
Green Channel

1.50:1
reward : risk
level reached 60.42%
Blue Channel

1:1.07
reward : risk
level reached 38.16%
Red Channel

1.66:1
reward : risk
level reached 20.14%
6/28/2017 by Dave H Friedel Jr in Index Trust Type: Equities

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