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A Japanese Fortune

Positioning for a summer dip, look to acquire some good fortune as Japan pulls back with the markets into the long upward channel in preparation as the Fed continues to wind down the asset purchases. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will find himself, along with Europe, increasing quantitative easing to accelerate growth spurring the initial spark of inflation.

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Canceled Plan

The cancel price was reached before the first buy could be triggered.

As an alternative, should the red channel hold - a strategic short following the red channel as your stop could be entertained but strictly followed.

I like the Blue Channel for the best purchase and the reward target for the 2nd channel provides the best odds of breaking the downward Red channel.  If you only purchase the 2nd channel, you may elect to leave some to run in case the Red Channel is broken.


  Price Shares Cost Returns R/R
Green Channel
Buy $11.08
$4,276.88  
Reward $11.46 $4,423.56 $146.68
Risk $10.18 $3,929.48 ($347.40)
Cancel $11.28    
 
Blue|Red Channel
Buy $10.18
$2,850.40  
Reward $10.70 $2,996.00 $145.60
Risk $9.51 $2,662.80 ($187.60)
Even $10.70      
 
1st Trade exit @ reward target ($146.68)  
Total Reward from all applicable channels ($1.08)  
Total Risk from all applicable channels ($793.62)  
 
Gray Channel
Buy $9.51
$2,853.00  
Reward $10.54 $3,162.00 $309.00
Risk $8.40 $2,520.00 ($333.00)
Even $10.33      
 
1st Trade exit @ reward target ($208.44)  
2nd Trade exit @ reward target $100.80  
Total Reward from all applicable channels $201.36  
Total Risk from all applicable channels ($1,865.88)  
Green Channel

1:2.37
reward : risk
level reached 60.42%
Blue|Red Channel

1:1.29
reward : risk
level reached 38.16%
Gray Channel

1:1.08
reward : risk
level reached 20.14%
5/12/2014 by Dave H Friedel Jr in Index Trust Type: Equities

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